Supply Forecast: September 24th – October 14th
Expect a very lively market from now through the end of Salinas. The extreme heat stress of early September effected growth, weights and quality, driving down yields and creating shortages.
Broccoli was the first to exhibit production short falls. Excessive moisture and heat has translated to “brown bead”, “pin rot”, and “hollow core”, creating major yield losses and market conditions in excess of $30.00. Cauliflower is quickly following suit, approaching the $20.00 mark. Reductions in lettuce and romaine yields coupled with declining local grown availability will likely result in steep increases to market pricing on these commodities as well.
In normal year, the final harvest of the Summer Season is typically the most susceptible to yield loss and quality concerns. Unusual weather fluctuations will magnify the impact. The seasonal seed varieties utilized by growers this time of year are not bred for these extreme weather conditions. While intermittent rains, thunder storms, heat spikes, and excessive humidity may be the norm for much of the United States this time of year, it is highly unusual for the Salinas Valley.
There are growing concerns about the pending transition to Huron and Yuma, which is just over a month away. We should expect significant quality and availability issues with the remaining Salinas crop. The increased vigilance of our Quality Control team to mitigate heat related damage will result in reduced yields and weights, further fueling market movement.
Our internal specifications for quality at harvest point remain unchanged. Despite our best efforts, we are concerned that quality issues which are not immediately visible at time of harvest or shipment will show upon arrivals. It may be reasonable to expect some degree of wilt, burn or discoloration. These conditions will likely persist throughout the balance of the Salinas season until we transition to Huron in late October.
Did You Know?
Tanimura & Antle uses low tillage practices in farming operations that reduces carbon foot prints for field preparation by 50%.
Tanimura & Antle uses a unique tillage implement for soil preparation; the “Eliminator” manufactured by Wilcox. The “Eliminator” can be set up to perform multiple jobs at once such as cutting, ripping, chiseling, discing, mulching, leveling, tilling, aerating and finishing. With this low tillage method, a field can be prepared for the next crop in 1-2 days by as little as 4 tractor passes as compared to 15+ passes traditionally regularly required over many more days. This results in significant fuel and labor savings. Plus, there are many other benefits of the “Eliminator”: it reduces soil compaction, it optimizes the planting window, it improves organic matter, it improves seed bed finish and it fractures-aerates for improved irrigation efficiency. The “Eliminator” can even be set up to plant and fertilizer.